Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 14.051002 16.017482 18.119324 20.528338 23.208244 26.093079 29.428480
2024-11-03 11.744241 14.505189 17.657322 21.503846 26.051234 31.235360 37.570839
2024-11-10 10.517882 13.954734 18.113827 23.472540 30.144052 38.123233 48.329422
2024-11-17 9.167831 13.020620 17.945702 24.618517 33.326582 44.198681 58.677080
2024-11-24 7.680038 11.662714 17.032652 24.666971 35.082038 48.615136 67.316438
2024-12-01 6.295239 10.214380 15.781877 24.073080 35.871564 51.787126 74.547947
2024-12-08 5.335641 9.215546 15.002696 23.997074 37.295665 55.847253 83.197373
2024-12-15 4.662199 8.537235 14.584288 24.356886 39.314321 60.815068 93.377839
2024-12-22 3.989449 7.747651 13.882356 24.184696 40.491602 64.618002 102.107347
2024-12-29 3.691330 7.539801 14.067112 25.388531 43.816406 71.736850 116.042416
2025-01-05 3.273669 7.051140 13.719007 25.675796 45.701301 76.781677 127.154176
2025-01-12 2.758613 6.294625 12.810555 24.916590 45.811173 79.066516 134.157888
2025-01-19 2.281720 5.541711 11.832148 23.965894 45.577997 80.884535 140.708197
2025-01-26 2.114837 5.395887 11.959231 24.992104 48.772274 88.398541 156.694677
2025-02-02 2.088745 5.549235 12.677615 27.167840 54.122720 99.753513 179.466069
2025-02-09 1.963106 5.458644 12.899485 28.422962 57.920816 108.726854 198.794084
2025-02-16 1.735890 5.090389 12.507276 28.448244 59.480703 113.982901 212.210775
2025-02-23 1.480429 4.602091 11.794916 27.757216 59.642550 116.811142 221.650444
2025-03-02 1.304575 4.279622 11.397853 27.658342 60.898168 121.600504 234.645034
2025-03-09 1.184394 4.080555 11.249804 28.056124 63.123070 128.208320 251.061795
2025-03-16 1.041780 3.788383 10.844671 27.855777 64.139651 132.658433 263.860386
2025-03-23 1.001073 3.786116 11.135319 29.210775 68.372079 143.233806 288.034610
2025-03-30 0.909674 3.610695 10.974985 29.532125 70.500669 149.972282 305.551875